mercoledì 23 settembre 2009

RIASSUNTO

TELECOM COMPRATE A 1,23 STOP LOSS A 1,16 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,34

BMPS COMPRATE A 1,432 STOP LOSS A 1,36 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,59

MEDIOLANUM COMPRATE A 4,52 ATOP LOSS A 4,40 TAKE PROFIT AT 4,95

IL SERVER DI MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA DOVREBBE RIPRENDERE A FUNZIONARE AL PIU' PRESTO.

domenica 20 settembre 2009

MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA SI SPOSTA

MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA nuovo sito



Avviso:

Il sito MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA è cambiato. Il nuovo indirizzo è:
MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA nuovo sito



Mercato Libero Londra cercherà di dare una guida speculativa (speculare significa guardare avanti. La “speculazione finanziaria” è quindi un operare su un certo asset sulla scorta della presunzione che le proprie conoscenze e ragionamenti riescano a portare a conclusioni sfuggite ai più) per orientarsi in questi mercati poco trasparenti e nebbiosi.

LA PRIMA SETTIMANA (21-25 settembre, TUTTI potranno accedere al sito ma utilizzando una password per leggere i contenuti degli articoli).

LA PASSWORD PER LA SETTIMANA E': spigola

La password verrà cambiata settimana prossima, la nuova password verrà data solo ai 250 iscritti, che riceveranno comunicazione scritta fra poco).

La password fa riferimento ovviamente a un mercato del pesce (un mercato le cui quotazioni sappiamo essere gonfiate)!

La decisione di prolungare l'accesso del sito a tutti (ma con password) è dettata da problemi organizzativi.

giovedì 17 settembre 2009

SELL MONDADORI AND TELECOM and....

9,05

WE ARE SELLING

MONDADORI 3,30
BMSP 1,41
TELECOM 1,24
CIR 1,42
UNIPOL AT 0,97
MEDIOLANUM AT 4,49


da lunedi' dovremmo lavorare in un blog chiuso. quindi abbiamo preferito fsr chiudere le posizioni a questo blog e prepararci a un'attività da zero.

ecco perchè vendiamo il portafoglio (che fra l'altro ha portato nell'insieme ottimi risultati)


monitoreremo quindi anche il flusso di donazioni, come sapete questo esperimento ha senso solo se genera dei risultati economici.

PER VOI LETTORI E' GRATUITO. MA, RIPETO, SE IL SERVIZIO CHE RICEVETE E' ALL'ALTEZZA, CI ATTENDIAMO DI ESSERE TRATTATI COME UN CAMERIERE DI UN RISTORANTE AMERICANO CHE VI SERVE BENE!!!

POSIZIONI APERTE - MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA

MEDIOLANUM AT 4,49 STOP LOSS AT 4,25 TAKE PROFIT AT 5,1

IMMSI AT 0,837 STOP LOSS AT 0,837 TAKE PROFIT AT 0,97

CIR AT 1,418 STOP LOSS AT 1,38 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,56

MONDADORI AT 3,155 STOP LOSS AT 3,12 TAKE PROFIT AT 3,6

UNIPOL AT 0,961 STOP LOSS AT 0,95 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,08

TELECOM bought at 1,14. Target price 1,34 - stop at 1,19

BMPS bought at 1,43 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,36

MEDIOLANUM

We buy mediolanum at 4,49 (not higher)

Current price at 9,30 a.m. 4,48

mercoledì 16 settembre 2009

GEMINA

FOR WHO IS LONG: PUT A STOP LOSS AT 0,55. TAKE PROFIT AT 0,65. OTHERWISE WAIT O,72 -0,75

SUMMARY

TODAY WE CLOSED RCS SELLING THE SHARES AT 1,29 GREAT PROFIT 28% IN 15 DAYS.



IMMSI AT 0,837 STOP LOSS AT 0,82 TAKE PROFIT AT 0,97

CIR AT 1,418 STOP LOSS AT 1,38 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,56

MONDADORI AT 3,155 STOP LOSS AT 2,90 TAKE PROFIT AT 3,6

UNIPOL AT 0,961 STOP LOSS AT 0,95 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,08

TELECOM bought at 1,14. Target price 1,34 - stop at 1,18

BMPS bought at 1,43 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,36

martedì 15 settembre 2009

OPEN TRADES

OPEN TRADES

IMMSI AT 0,837 STOP LOSS AT 0,79 TAKE PROFIT AT 0,92
CIR AT 1,418 STOP LOSS AT 1,38 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,56
MONDADORI AT 3,155 STOP LOSS AT 2,90 TAKE PROFIT AT 3,6
UNIPOL AT 0,961 STOP LOSS AT 0,93 TAKE PROFIT AT 1,08
TELECOM bought at 1,14. Target price 1,34 - stop at 1,18
Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,29 stop loss at 1,12
BMPS bought at 1,43 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,36

TODAY WE DO NOT TRADE! WE JUST WAIT AND SEE...

IMMSI

16.00 BUY IMMSI AT 0,842 (NOT HIGHER)

do not worry for stop loss and take profit on the last 3 trades.

wait tomorrow.

CIR

BUY CIR AT 1,425 (NOT HIGHER)9,34 A.M

MONDADORI

BUY AT 3,155 NOT HIGHER. (9,32 A.M )

UNIPOL

Buy Unipol at 0,961 (not higher) 9,30 A.M. MILAN TIME

lunedì 14 settembre 2009

TODAY WE ARE READY TO BUY SOME STOCKS!!! ARE YOU READY AS WELL?


OPEN TRADES:

Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,32 - stop at 1,16

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,29 stop loss at 1,12

BMPS bought at 1,43 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,38



Le operazioni chiuse hanno generato complessivamente un buon profitto.
Il mercato è fortissimo. Presto si dovrebbero rompere gli argini ....
closed italcementi at 10,5 (automatic stop loss) -3.4%
closed Pirelli at 0,3545 (AT THE OPENING AS advised in early morning) + 10%
closed Eni at 17,254 (at the opening as advised in early morning) +4,9%
closed Mediolanum at 3,3 +2,2%
closed Piaggio 1,49 -1,3%

TODAY WE HAVE INCREASED OUR CASH POSITION!!!

and we closed several trades (overall result is positive, summary at the end of the day)

PIAGGIO

STOP LOSS AT 1,49 -1,3%

MEDIOLANUM, REMEMBER TO PUT STOP LOSS AT 4,30 (PROFIT OF 2,2%)

4,30 was traded for just a minute. But you are right. Therefore I put Mediolanum in the CLOSED TRADES at 4,3. +2,2%.

Mediolanum, therefore, is not anymore in the list.

CLOSED TRADES

We closed italcementi at 10,5 (automatic stop loss) -3.4%

We closed Pirelli at 0,3545 (AT THE OPENING AS advised in early morning) + 10%

We closed Eni at 17,254 (at the opening as advised in early morning) +4,9%

domenica 13 settembre 2009

KEEP CASH FOR THE END OF THE WEEK!

BE careful and prepare stop losses .

ASIAN MARKETS

European stocks were poised to fall on Monday, Oil lost more than a dollar toward $68 a barrel on Monday, hit by a rebound
in the recently-hammered U.S. dollar and renewed concerns that oil prices may have run ahead of market fundamentals.
Japan's Nikkei dropped 2.4 percent on Monday, pushed lower by exporters after the dollar hit a fresh seven-month low against the yen.

ITALY WILL BE WEAK. We will sell pirelli at the opening (selling price not lower than 0.35) and Eni (selling price not lower than 17.00).

venerdì 11 settembre 2009

WEEKLY SUMMARY


We have 8 open positions. All are long.

On telecom, pirelli, eni, mediolanum and rcs we are 100% sure to make a profit Stop loss higher than opening price)On BMPS, Italcementi and PiagGio we still have a risk to suffer a small loss in the event of LOWER PRICES ( and execution s of stop losses)


PLEASE DO NOT CONSIDER VALID ALL THE OTHER ORDERS MENTIONED LAST WEEK.


OPEN TRADES
Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,28 .- stop at 1,16

PIRELLI bought at 0,32 SL at 0,342 TP 0,365

Eni bought at 16,40 Take Profit at 17,75 stop loss at 17.00

MEDIOLANUM Bought at 4,20 Take Profit at 4,90 stop loss at 4,3

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,29 stop loss at 1,12

BMPS bought at 1,43 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,38

Piaggio bought at 1,51 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,49

Italcementi bought at 10.85 take profit at 12,5 stop loss at 10,5


GEMINA : WE DO NOT HAVE POSITIONS , however no one should have losses. The company is quoted 0,565 8highest in months....)
UNICREDITO : SHORT AT 2,585 COVEREDED AT 2,5875 (loss is almost zero)

Closed trades : Fondiaria and Tenaris (in good profit)

WE DO NOT HAVE POSITIONS IN OTHER ITALIAN STOCKS!!!

DADAUMPA......

UNICREDIT

We close the short position on Unicredito at 13,55 at 2,5875!!!

giovedì 10 settembre 2009

ITALIANS VS FOREIGNERS!

Only 89% of our readers are coming from Italy.
4,1% is coming from London,
2.9% from Switzerland,
1,4% from NY

GEMINA and UNICREDITO

BUY AT 0,555 (not higher)!!!

Stop Loss at 0,48
Take profit at 0,72.

BUY SMALL SIZE BECAUSE IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO SELL (illiquid stock) . Increase the position only if the price will go higher then 0,575.


UNICREDIT SELL SHORT AT 2,585 (not lower!!!) STOP LOSS AT 2,635 take profit at 2,41
The big money sold some calls....for september. The bank should remain weak for the next 7 days. Polish gov. bonds should help!

SUMMARY


WE CURRENTLY HAVE 8 SHARES LONG. THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF SHARES IN THE PORTFOLIO WILL BE 15. POSITIONS CAN BE BOTH LONG AND SHORT.

IMPORTANT :
1)NEVER BUT AT AN HIGHER PRICE THAN SUGGESTED!!!
2)put always stop losses and take profits. (stop loss and take profits can change every day)


OPEN TRADES
Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,28 .- stop at 1,16

PIRELLI bought at 0,32 SL at 0,333 TP 0,365

Eni bought at 16,40 Take Profit at 17,75 stop loss at 17.00

MEDIOLANUM Bought at 4,20 Take Profit at 4,90 stop loss at 4,3

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,28 stop loss at 1,12

BMPS bought at 1,43 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,38

Piaggio bought at 1,51 take profit at 1,75 stop loss at 1,49

Italcementi bought at 10.85 take profit at 12,5 stop loss at 10,5

PIAGGIO

Yesterday we bought Piaggio at 1,51 (as per previous advice). Please do not buy the stock now! STOP LOSS AT 1,51 TARGET AT 1,70


This morning we bought BMPS at 1,43 stop loss at 1,38 Take profit at 1,75


We bought Italcementi at 10,85 - stop loss at 10,4 Target Price at 11,9

Gemina . Not in the portfolio. However my target price is 0,75. I rather prefer to buy the stock if price higher than 0,57. (this morning the price reached 0,57 but not able to keep it)

BANCA MONTEPASCHI

We are in a Bubble, but we are interested in BMPS at 1,43 not higher!!!

Italcementi but at 10,88 (not higher) current price 10,85!!!

mercoledì 9 settembre 2009

ITALIAN BANK

Yesterday I was ready to put at your attention an Italian Bank. Then i preferred to wait.

Let's see this morning. come back later please.

Prices cannot go higher and higher every day in such a way. Today can be a quite day.

OPEN TRADES

OPEN TRADES
Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,28 .- stop at 1,14

PIRELLI bought at 0,32 SL at 0,333 TP 0,365

Eni bought at 16,40 Take Profit at 17,75 stop loss at 16,80

MEDIOLANUM Bought at 4,20 Take Profit at 4,90 stop loss at 4,25

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,28 stop loss at 1,05


CLOSED TRADES
TENARIS BOUGHT AT 10,15 sold at 11,03!!!

TODAY WE LIKE CEMENT IN BERGAMO BUT AT A LOWER PRICE

Accumulate at 10,5 (not higher)

martedì 8 settembre 2009

STILL BULLISH....BUT BE READY TO COVER THE LONG POSITIONS SOON

We are investing with the idea that markets will reach new highs FIRST WEEK OF OCTOBER.

However the "futures" liquidation next 18/9 con be quite relevant and can put under pressure the market.

In addition to that look at the gold and the dollar. Dollar weak and Gold over 1000 are important indicators that starts to put some worries to the investors.

Piaggio continue to remain in our shopping list (but we did not buy any share so farand today we will not put any order). De Benedetti continue to raise the interests of the investors.

We are looking to an italian Bank and company based in Bergamo. During the morning we will tell you the names if the market will be positive.





WE INVEST ON TELECOM ITALIA FOR A FINAL TARGET OF 1,5 (medium term)!!! Top pick!


OPEN TRADES
Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,28 .- stop at 1,12

Tenaris bought at 10,15 Target 11,03 . Stop Loss 10,40

PIRELLI bought at 0,32 SL at 0,315 TP 0,35

Eni bought at 16,40 Take Profit at 17,80 stop loss at 16,55

MEDIOLANUM Bought at 4,20 Take Profit at 4,90 stop loss at 4,25

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,28 stop loss at 1,05

KEEP AN EYE ON THE ITALIAN SCOOTER



We are looking to Piaggio to collect at 1,49 - 1,51.

lunedì 7 settembre 2009

OPEN TRADES AND CHANGE IN STOP LOSS.



Asia was closing positive, with Japan +0,53% at 10.376. Europe should be quite at the opening.

MARKETs ARE BOOMING...so......we should be ready to start go short on the market in the next few days on some shares not ready to break up resistances (we are looking to Luxottica, pop Milano, Fiat ecc ec..but do not sell today....just be ready on your books to click sell short the stock). Market could go up for some additional days with some shares that can go up to the roof

In the meantime....we have increased our stop losses on some position in order to reduce potential losses.

Our best pick remain Telecom Italia (but 1,20 can be hard to pass)


OPEN TRADES:
BE CAREFUL: (STOP LOSS OR TAKE PROFITS CAN CHANGE DURING THE WEEK)

Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,28 .- stop at 1,14

Tenaris bought at 10,15 Target 11,03 . Stop Loss 10,15

PIRELLI bought at 0,32 SL at 0,31 TP 0,35

Eni bought at 16,40 Take Profit at 17,80 stop loss at 16,40

MEDIOLANUM Bought at 4,20 Take Profit at 4,90 stop loss at 4,25

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,25 stop loss at 1,04

WOW WHAT A MARKET!!!

This is a new equity market bubble!!!

You can make easy money but be careful!!!

TELECOM ITALIA

Fossati doesn't like Telefonica anymore.

Strange....he is half italian half spanish (he is well connected in Spain - remember Star).

SOMETHING STRANGE TO WATCH VERY VERY CAREFULLY.

IS DE BENEDETTI GROUP READY TO JUMP?

Watch at the group (volumes and orders)

domenica 6 settembre 2009

WAKE UP. IT IS MONDAY MORNING...TRADING WILL START SOON!!!



ASIAN MARKETS WERE POSITIVE. US MARKETS ARE CLOSED.

EUROPEAN MARKETS SHOULD OPEN STRONG! This morning we are watching at some european stocks.

venerdì 4 settembre 2009


SUMMARY OF THE WEEK:

CLOSED TRADES
FONDIARIA Bought at 13,20 closed at 13,80


OPEN TRADES:
BE CAREFUL: (STOP LOSS OR TAKE PROFITS CAN CHANGE DURING THE WEEK)

Telecom bought at 1,14. Target price 1,23 .- stop at 1,11

Tenaris bought at 10,15 Target 11 . Stop Loss 9,9

PIRELLI bought at 0,32 SL at 0,31 TP 0,35

Eni bought at 16,40 Take Profit at 17,80 stop loss at 16,20

MEDIOLANUM Bought at 4,20 Take Profit at 4,90 stop loss at 4,20

Rcs bought at 1,01 take profit at 1,25 stop loss at 1,01


Markets are exicited. Governments will keep stimulus helping the equity bubble to develop.

I still remember Tiscali or Fastweb or Pagine Gialle or Espresso and Mediaset in 2000...during the internet bubble....
one day prices will be much lower than today...but in the meantime........you have to be in the market and make money!!!


NEXT WEEK SHOULD START POSITIVE. We have to watch at the american big bond auctions (8 and 9 september).

TELECOM ITALIA AND TENARIS

These are the 2 shares starting with T that today we have accumulated.

Telecom, as per previous advise, we bought at 1,14. Target price 1,23 .- stop at 1,11

Tenaris bought at 10,15 Target 11 . Stop Loss 9,9

PIRELLI

We are looking at Pirelli.

Current price 0,32

SL at 0,31
TP 0,35

14,15 milan time

UPDATE

Markets are getting stronger and stronger.
Edison and Iride are going up to the roof. (we are not active in those stocks).

Telecom is trading at 1,14. Interesting the graph.....

oil higher in the morning pushing ENI and Tenaris.

Still not convinced for the afternoon market...

FRIDAY MORNING

Markets looks good at the start. However we think that today will be not so interesting for traders. If markets will open strong...can be a selling opportunity (short period)

10.00 MILAN TIME

I DO NOT LIKE THE MARKET TODAY

Looks like they want to push buyers...

The president of the Czech says: european stimulus is irrational, it is time for the exit strategy!.


This fellow is not important in EU...however....in the afternoon the market can be nervous...(important data from NY).

We are trading carefully!

giovedì 3 settembre 2009

UN'ALTRA SERA E' ARRIVATA A LONDRA!


Stasera si mangia italiano e stiamo in zona...DOMANI SI PREANNUNCIA UNA INTERESSANTE GIORNATA DI TRADING E ANDREMO A LETTO PRESTO.

ENI

16,30 MILAN TIME...

COHIBA ADVISED THIS MORNING ON ENI....

BUYERS ARE LOOKING TO OIL AND ENI....

Interesting to trade...

FONDIARIA !

REACHED THE TARGET 13,79!!!

Great day for the italian insurance company

WONDERFUL DATA FROM US.

15.00 Milan Time

The bad macro data on employement is good for the market.
Trichet said: NO TIME TO CUT STIMOLOUS....

And te market is quita happy!!!

celebration day!

TODAY, SO FAR, IS A WONDERFUL DAY!!!

Markets are not so sure to go up....but the list of 30 shares we are looking at are really interesting.

money is coming in the market waiting the G20 decision on the exit strategy........

MEDIOLANUM TRY TO FIND A BASEMENT

Area 4,18 - 4,22 can be considered as a floor for the italian insurance company.

Accumulate around this level

Stop Loss a 4,10

Take profit at 4,90 (medium term)

THE FALLING OF RCS

The falling prices of RCS looks more as a buy opportunity than a sell one.

Tentative buy at 1,01

Stop Loss 0,98

Target Price 1,09

THIS MORNING WE LIKE FONDIARIA

Stop LOSS AT 12,80!!!

Tentative buy at 13,20

Sell at 13,80

mercoledì 2 settembre 2009

LONDRA INVASA DALLE FORMICHINE!!!



IERI IL BLOG E' STATO LETTO DA 8300 PERSONE. 12 mesi fa al 2 di settembre eravamo solo 4100!

A sua volta MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA e' stato visitato da quasi 2000 persone anche se purtroppo non ci sono state segnalazioni degne di rilievo.

Purtroppo anche oggi non è stata una gran giornata sui mercati. Ma Michele Nista è sicuro che fra pochi giorni tutto tornerà a salire ( io lo sono molto meno, ma questo è il mercato del pesce e tutto è possibile nel breve).

Questa mattina, dopo un caffè dal solito Starbuck, ci siamo messi davanti ai computers.
Michele mi ha detto...."oggi sarà una giornata noiosa...una giornata da formichine, ma le giornate da speculare, in un anno non capitano tanto spesso....quindi saper fare la formichina è essenziale per ottenere risultati, quindi forza che si parte"

Un mattone oggi, uno domani e si va avanti!

Allora abbiamo aperto i book dei futures su:
Petrolio
S&P
Eurostock
Dax
FIB italiano

e con tanta pazienza abbiamo iniziato ad operare....

E' stato un lavoro da certosino, un contratto dopo l'altro...

Oggi NON era una giornata da titoli azionari. Si sarebbe solo perso denaro.

Ma appena lo scrollone finirà....il denaro dovrebbe tornare sui temi segnalati da Michele

Io comincerò da settimana prossima a monitorare i titoli e cercherò di far acquistare quelli che vedo in rottura non appena il mercato vorrà ricominciare a correre.

Personalmente non sono convinto della continuazione del rialzo. MA MICHELE LO E'.

Comunque vada SIAMO IN UN MERCATO DEL PESCE. I prezzi (come i bilanci delle aziende ) sono fuori dalla realtà. ma oggi sono così, prendere o lasciare....

L'importante è avere sempre il controllo del rischio, o con stop loss o con copertura con posizioni corte sull'indice.

Provate sempre a dare un occhio ...se c'è qualcosa da segnalare lo faremo....
MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA

OGGI NESSUNA ATTIVITA' DA SEGNALARE, SI RIMANE LIQUIDI IN ATTESA

martedì 1 settembre 2009

E' NOTTE FONDA A LONDRA , MA VI VOGLIO RACCONTARE COSA E' ACCADUTO.



E' notte a Londra, ho appena finito di cenare con Michael in un ristorante libanese.

Sono molto stanco ..(questa mattina mi sono svegliato alle 5!!!) ma questo post a spiegazione di quanto è accaduto oggi LO DEVO A TUTTI COLORO CHE OGGI HANNO ATTESO INVANO I CONSIGLI SUL BLOG DI MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA !!!

Oggi alle 14.00 ora di Londra (15.00 A MILANO) ho incontrato Michael nei suoi uffici.

Abbiamo iniziato ad acquistare dei titoli e ci siamo subito esaltati! pochi minuti dopo,all'apertura di Wally avevamo già in tasca una ottima plusvalenza.

L'esperimento non poteva iniziare meglio!!!

Abbiamo iniziato a scrivere un post sul blog indicando alcuni titoli che nelle prossime settimane potrebbero salire.

Ma avevamo poco tempo quindi non siamo riusciti a indicare prezzi d'entrata ne stop loss o take profit.

Poi il vento è cambiato ed è iniziato un pesante storno.
Lo abbiamo capito fin da subito e abbiamo dovuto fare in fretta. Mentre io cancellavo il post sul blog MERCATO LIBERO LONDRA (che era rimasto solo per pochissimi minuti)MICHAEL chiudeva tutte le posizioni long.

La giornata per noi a Londra si è chiusa in parità (utili bruciati, ma tutta la cassa è li pronta per fare trading già in mattinata)

Mi scuso per il disguido (per tutti coloro che hanno letto il posto in QUEI POCHISSIMI MINUTI IN CUI E' RIMASTO PUBBLICATO)


PRECISAZIONI:

1) Avevamo avvisato che era un esperimento e quindi soggetto a possibili malfunzionamenti

2) Le operazioni fatte da Michael vengono sempre chiuse in giornata

3) I titoli indicati rimangono interessanti in un mercato TORO.

4) Michael è convinto che i mercati rimangono intonati positivamente (anche se nel breve non esclude un proseguimento della correzione)

5) Io rimango scettico sul mercato. Proprio per tale motivo sono venuta a Londra, perchè l'operatività di Michael è quella del "MERCATO DEL PESCE" tutto deve essere fatto nell'arco della giornata!!! In questa fase si deve essere pronti a operare ma altrettanto printi a uscire.

Oggi continueremo a fare trading, ma l'aggiornamento sul blog lo faremo solo se supportato da prezzo di acquisto, stop loss e trading profit.